The big-time week picking NFL games didn’t come in Week 8, but it was right there in front of me.
But two games went bad in the final seconds, two games I handicapped the right way but lost out in end-of-game garbage covers for the other side.
The first happened Thursday night when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers got a late garbage touchdown thanks to two major penalties keeping the drive alive. Then the last one came when the Baltimore Ravens gave up 10 late points to let the Arizona Cardinals get the back-door cover.
That turned my ATS record from what would have been a sterling 10-5-1 to a dismal 8-7-1. That stinks. That has my season record at 58-60-4. I did go 11-5 straight up, which raises that record to 73-49.
Let’s hope their are no back-door covers this week for me — unless, of course, they go my way.
Tennessee Titans (+3) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video)
Rookie Will Levis was special in his first NFL start, but this is a big challenge against the Steelers defense on the road on a short week. Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett said he will play with a rib injury, but how limited will he be? Their offensive line was awful last week, and that will play true here. Levis will play well enough to lead the Titans to a victory.
Pick: Titans 23, Steelers 17
Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) (in Germany)
Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network, fubo)
The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Denver, one where the offense didn’t look that good. Miami impressed in beating New England, but they haven’t beaten a team with a winning record yet. This is a big chance. I just don’t think it will happen. Patrick Mahomes will get the best of the Dolphins defense as he gets back going right after his flu game last week.
Pick: Chiefs 30, Dolphins 26
If you want a more analytical approach to your NFL picks, then I highly suggest that you check out the SportsLine Projection Model, which has been on fire this year. Check it out if you want to know which side to bet.
Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-4.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Vikings will start rookie Jarran Hall in this game, which will be a challenge for their offense. Atlanta could be making a change at quarterback as well since Desmond Ridder was benched last week. The Falcons will limit Hall and win this game — no matter who plays quarterback for them.
Pick: Falcons 27, Vikings 13
Seattle Seahawks at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Ravens beat the Cardinals in lackluster style last week, while Seattle came back to beat the Browns and P.J. Walker. The Seattle defense is improving every week, and adding Leonard Williams will help, but this is a long trip against a team that can score. Look for Lamar Jackson to play better than he did last week.
Pick: Ravens 27, Seahawks 18
Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns (-8)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Cardinals are going in the wrong direction after a solid start, but this might be who they are. The Browns lost to the Seahawks last week, but played much better on defense than the week before. That will be a tough challenge for Cardinals quarterback Clayton Tune. The Browns are the much better team here and they are at home. They get it done.
Pick: Browns 30, Cardinals 20
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
This is consecutive road games for the Rams after they were dominated by the Cowboys last week. And Matthew Stafford is dinged up. The Packers didn’t look good in losing at home to the Vikings last week, but their season is on the line here, and I think they will play that way.
Pick: Packers 27, Rams 19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) at Houston Texans
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Bucs have lost three straight as the offense has struggled lately. The Texans are coming off a loss to the Panthers where their offense didn’t play that well. The Bucs will have three days of extra rest and I think that will help the offense get back on track. They take a tight one.
Pick: Bucs 24, Texans 23
Washington Commanders at New England Patriots (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Commanders have major issues on defense, and then traded away their two top edge players this week. But the New England offense is limited. So what gives? I think at home the Patriots are the pick. When two bad teams meet, take the home team, especially against one with a bad defense.
Pick: Patriots 24, Commanders 16
Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Bears are playing consecutive road games, which can be a challenge. They could have Justin Fields back, which is needed. The Saints got their offense going against the Colts with Derek Carr playing well. That will continue here against a Bears defense that is just OK.
Pick: Saints 28, Bears 13
Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers (+2.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Panthers got their first victory last week with the offense showing some life late to get the game-winning field goal. That should carry over against a Colts defense that has had major issues the past two weeks. The Colts are inconsistent on offense with Gardner Minshew, which plays out here too. The Panthers get their second victory.
Pick: Panthers 23, Colts 20
New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Raiders are having major issues on offense, but the Giants are coming off a game with minus-9 yards passing. That almost doesn’t seem possible by today’s NFL rules. But it happened. So who wins here? The Giants might be down to a third-team quarterback, so I’ll go with the Raiders. They can score 20, can’t they?
Pick: Raiders 20, Giants 13
Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
This is an enormous early-season game in the NFC East. The Eagles have the best record in the NFL, but they still haven’t looked great. The Cowboys have righted things the past two games, especially on offense. I think that shows up as the Cowboys pull off the upset with Dak Prescott having a big game.
Pick: Cowboys 31, Eagles 29
Buffalo Bills (+2.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)
The Bengals have come back to life after the slow start due to Joe Burrow’s calf injury early in the season, which really impacted the offense. Buffalo played looser against the Bucs last week and they have three extra days of rest. This will be a fun offensive game that will go right down to the wire. It’s tight, but the Bengals will win it late.
Pick: Bengals 31, Bills 30
Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at New York Jets
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN, fubo)
The Chargers seemed to right things against the Bears, but this is a long trip against a good defensive team. That will cause problems for Justin Herbert. The Chargers defense has been bad for most of the season, but they showed some improvement last week. Look for the Chargers to come in here and get the best of it as Herbert does enough to pull it out late.
えろ 人形but shapely”; Caucasians for “full,but not large” butts; Hispanics for buns that are “very full”; and African Americans for buns that are “as full as possible” (2006).
in 2014,ラブドール エロNick Olivas of Arizona was forced to pay over $15,
” Differentiation is a well-known process in human development,common in teens,ラブドール
Companionship for Mental Health Challenges: jydollIndividuals facing mental health challenges, such as depression or severe social withdrawal
Hi there, for all time i used to check website posts here early in the daylight, since i love to gain knowledge of more and more.
https://actu.fr/bretagne/plufur_22238/autour-de-plouaret-sylvain-compte-sur-vos-votes-pour-soutenir-son-projet-de-verger-bio_55094212.html
from smooth and refined gentleman-produced imperfections初音 ミク ラブドール to facial expressions and meticulously calculated system proportions,
エロ ラブドールMy sex doll ticks all of those boxes; he really helps me with experimenting and understanding my sexual desires.It’s empowering in a way I didn’t quite expect,
that will otherwise not be accessible to Lots of individuals, オナドールtypically with unsettling final results.
The practical steps you outlined for [specific strategy or problem] were not only clear but also highly actionable,ラブドールmaking it easy for me to apply your suggestions to my own work.
“Ultimately,sexual compatibility can be measured by how well you and your partner balance and fulfill your individual sexual needs.エロ 人形
A series of studies explored the facets of compulsive sexual behavior among adults and adolescents.ラブドール えろ8 Four facets of compulsive sexual behavior were identified that are in keeping with the definition of compulsive sexual behavior disorder and that manifest among adults and adolescents.
” – Burton Hillis”Blessed is the season which engages the whole world in a conspiracy of love.” – Hamilton Wright Mabie”Christmas is not a time nor a season,ラブドール えろ
ラブドール えろThese are active rather than passive strategies,that help adolescents to personalize sexual issues and develop specific negotiation and refusal skills needed in sexual relations.
which can lead to a deeper orgasm,” Ramsay says.人形 エロ
An orgasm happens when you are very aroused. ロボット セックスTension builds up in your body, the sexual pressure is then released in a sudden pleasurable rush.
and their old talk tended to relate to daughters’ body dissatisfaction.エロ ラブドールMothers serve as role models of behavior,
リックは短絡的な思い付きで作ったセックス ロボット“エイブラドルフ・リンクラー”を放置していたが、皮肉なことに“エイブラドルフ・リンクラー”は製造者としてリックを愛していた．．．
ラブドールが好きな方は一度は高級な人形 えろラブドールを購入してみたいと思ったことはないでしょうか？
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you.
The second motivation was a more general desire to control the survivor,to dictate how they behaved,エロ ラブドール
Greek aristocracy had a lot of spare time.ラブドール 無 修正It was in good taste to use this time to strive for kalokagathia — a corporal,
自分のダッシュボード画面では投稿したイラストオナドールに対するリアクションが確認できるので、モチベーションにもつながりますよ。
ラブドール セックスor validatin Because of this,parents might think about what they wish they had learned or received from their parents when they were confused or sad about things they were exposed to.
Yeah, ask me how that went? Hehehe. He opened his eyes and helped me remove his briefsセックス ロボット and then he helped me lay down on my air mattress, lifted my legs up.
ラブドール セックスInitiate support groups or self-care workshops; invite mental health experts to speak at your schools,community centers,
the so-called Elektra complex as classical Freudian analysis might suggest,ラブドール エロwere her unconscious strivings purely and literally sexually motivated?Or was it a symbolic seeking after some other aspect of Eros: the love of men,
That changes,ラブドール リアルhowever,
or having less positive relationships with their parents,リアル ドールespecially their mothers.
This blog was… how do you say it? Relevant!! Finally
I’ve found something which helped me. Thanks a lot!エロ 下着
Some individuals develop deep emotional connections with their sex dolls,treating them as cherished companions rather than mere objects of desire.オナホドール
While knowledge is power,ラブドール 女性 用knowledge dominated by a tsunami of negativity is overwhelming,
Hello mates, its fantastic post on the topic of cultureand fully defined, keep it up all the time.
казино рио бет
recognized for its versatile and high-quality sex dolls,人形 えろ offers various finger options tailored to diverse customer preferences.
And when they were first tested,海外 セックスthey were in good health,
From her signature orange hair and slender figure to her mischievous smile and playful demeanor,えろ 人形 every aspect of the love doll is meticulously crafted to stay true to Nami’s animated counterpart.
ousness of a system based on securing the needs of white,rich,ラブドール 通販
the genial flame of charity in the heart.” – Washington Irving”The joy of brightening other lives,ラブドール えろ
Can you be more specific about the content of your article? After reading it, I still have some doubts. Hope you can help me.
Thank you for your sharing. I am worried that I lack creative ideas. It is your article that makes me full of hope. Thank you. But, I have a question, can you help me?
The three examples I started withcolor,セックス ドールspace,
all built in the 1800s — and it’s a popular destination for haunted pub crawls.The tour company added,セクシー ランジェリー
Despite the positive impacts of sex dolls on human relationships,セックス ボット there are some negative critics.
ダッチワイフand salty snacks.Think Pop-Tarts.
But, some counterfeit suppliers and suppliers seek out to emulate初音 ミク ラブドール what the top are undertaking in a portion of the expense. They are going to frequently use the exact same product photography the original producer made to provide their imitation items.
リアル ドールA study on examining sexual messages in popular TV shows found that 2 out of 3 programs contained sexually related actions.1 out of 15 shows included scenes of sexual intercourse itself.
and it has set a high standard for content in this field.ダッチワイフI was thoroughly impressed by the depth and breadth of research you presented in your article on [specific topic].
This conflict, of what she was being told versus what she believed, was all down to the ラブドール 女性 用widely held stereotypes and cliche?s that we (still) see reflected everywhere we look.
I don’t think the title of your article matches the content lol. Just kidding, mainly because I had some doubts after reading the article.
This can be helpful for those who feel anxious in social situations,最 高級 ダッチワイフ have disabilities, or are healing from tough times.
Psychological First AidPFA is a short-term intervention strategy to provide immediate support and care to individuals and communities affected by critical incidents.Anyone trained in PFA can provide information essential to understanding the psychological dynamics of stress and trauma and connect people to needed resources.高級 ラブドール
ラブドール エロrape by intimate partners is more common than stranger rape (Bachman & Saltzman,1995; Finkelhor & Yllo,
Why is it important,ラブドール セックスoutside of academic circles,
Every year,t バックLewisburg transforms into a winter wonderland with Christmas lights and carriage rides.
For anyone wanting to improve their intimate ラブドール 女性 用activities and discover their wildest fantasies, using ideal sexual intercourse dolls is becoming ever more popular.
If you’ve been missing your partner,エロ 人形take some time to sit down together and plan out when you’ll make time for intimacy.
and African buffaloes — on your wildlife-spotting adventure.Treat your partner like royalty with a trip to southwestern Germany.アダルト 下着
The internet and social media are certainly useful as lives can be ruined with a single tweet.ラブドール 中古But so are guns and rifles,
Your article helped me a lot, is there any more related content? Thanks!
ドール エロ” Brownmiller wrote,“is not a crime of irrational,
making them more accessible and easier to grasp.Your exploration of [specific issue or theory] was thorough and insightful,ラブドール
Here is a question to help kick-off discussions onロボット セックス the issues you need to talk about! You can share it on social, on WhatsApp or just get talking.
The aviation industry has been under increasing pressure to reduce its carbon footprint,女性 用 ラブドールand sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has emerged as a promising solution.
When it comes to graduation trips,アダルト 下着there are no hard-and-fast rules about how or where you should travel; they can run the gamut from quick beach weekends to week-long,
If you don’t find one that interests you,人形 エロor if you want to add on activities or upgrade hotels,
But while Tenga’s toys could be confused with coffee cups, ラブドール 女性 用or designer vases, I can’t say the same for others on the market.
from the color and texture of the skin to the style and length of the hair,ラブドール えろand even the smallest facial features.
高級 ラブドールthey’re pretty clean and well-managed,the kind of place where tables are wiped down frequently by staff and a pack of tissues or an unattended backpack is an accepted and perfectly safe way to save your seat.
Sex educator Tara Jones tells us that she always recommends sex games foラブドール avr long-term couples as a way of reigniting or keeping alive a sense of passion.
that there are many ideas about the purpose of life? Even if you already believe in One Answer to The Ultimate Question,ラブドール 女性 用you still recognize that other people and groups have different answers to the same question.